Jim Cramer says investors are punishing bank stocks even when earnings beat estimates. Morgan Stanley (MS) fell nearly 3% on Wednesday after its revenue grew 12% and topped forecasts.
Cramer attributes the sell-off to worries about sticky inflation and climbing rates, not weak results. Goldman Sachs also beat estimates, yet it lost another 1.5% on Wednesday, CNBC reported.
Why Did a 12% Revenue Beat Fail to Lift Morgan Stanley?
Morgan Stanley’s third-quarter revenue rose to $20.3 billion from $18.2 billion a year earlier, according to its filing.
Institutional Securities, the unit combining investment banking with sales and trading, grew 18% to $10 billion.
Cramer noted that fixed income fell short of expectations, and the filing shows a 7% decline.
In contrast, wealth management revenue rose 10%, and client assets across wealth and investment management reached a record $10.5 trillion.
Still, Chief Executive Ted Pick told CNBC he is cautiously optimistic about the fourth quarter, Cramer said.
“it’s not easy to own these bank stocks right now.”
Jim Cramer, host of CNBC’s Mad Money, via CNBC
Morgan Stanley is also a lead underwriter on Anthropic’s IPO, which Cramer said is due in November.
Bloomberg Intelligence analyst Herman Chan says Anthropic IPO deal flow could lift Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs.
Does Cramer See an Iran Resolution Reviving Bank Stocks?
Cramer said a resolution to the war in Iran, even an imperfect one, could cool inflation.
In his view, that would give the Federal Reserve room to back off rate hikes.
He expects capital markets to bounce back if that happens.
Meanwhile, his Charitable Trust portfolio upgraded Wells Fargo and Goldman Sachs to buy-equivalent ratings, CNBC reported.
Cramer says the group no longer trades as one, because each bank now has different characteristics.
Momei Qu, head of venture at PSP Growth, says Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan are becoming AI stocks. Their earnings do not show that link yet, she told Bloomberg.
Therefore, bank shares may keep trading on inflation and rate signals rather than on quarterly beats.
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